Probabilities can be misleading

Written by Jim Chaput
After a 19-year career in financial services, Jim left a leadership position to focus on health and fitness. Jim is a Master Practitioner of Applied Movement Neurology and holds Certificates in Applied Functional Science and 3DMAPS from the Gray Institute. His passion is empowering people to help resolve the pain, tension and insomnia that prevents them from living well.

Unlikely and rare events sometimes occur. When they do, that does not make them more likely.

A few weeks back, I had a typo in one of my blog posts. Trish said she was really surprised because it was so unusual. A bit frustrated that I had not caught my mistake before it published, I responded tartly, “It is unusual.” (There was no need for me to take it personally, we all make mistakes.)

Even if I’m 99% accurate, I will likely have a typo every few months. It’s not that simple though; probabilities are estimates. I could have 2 typos in a week and no typos for 7 months and still be 99%. The key to maintaining high quality is to ignore probability and be diligent every day.

How does your real world experience compare to what you expect?

1 Comment

  1. Duncs

    I’d say my real world experience is strongly in influenced by what I expect … living in a moment that is how it is but experienced by comparison with expectations … unless in deep flow 😉